Andrea Gabrio
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A review of heath economic evaluation practice in the Netherlands: are we moving forward?

 
We review the evolution of health economic evaluation practice in the Netherlands before and after the introduction of the ZIN’s 2016 guidelines. Based on some key components within the health economics framework addressed by the new guidelines, we specifically focus on reviewing the statistical methods, missing data methods and software implemented by health economists.
Linear mixed models to handle missing at random data in trial based economic evaluations



 
Linear mixed effects models (LMMs) offer a simple alternative to handle missing data under Missing At Random (MAR) without requiring imputations, and have not been very well explored in the CEA context. In this manuscript, we aim to familiarize readers with LMMs and demonstrate their implementation in trial-based cost-effectiveness analysis. With Catrin Plumpton and Sube Banerjee and Baptiste Leurent  
Bayesian Modelling for Partitioned Survival Cost-Utility Analysis



 
We extend the current methods for modelling trial-based partitioned survival cost-utility data, taking advantage of the flexibility of the Bayesian approach, and specify a joint probabilistic model for the health economic outcomes. This allows to account for multiple types of data complexities and the dependence relationships between different types of quality of life and cost components.  
Joint Longitudinal Models for Dealing With Missing at Random Data in Trial-Based Economic Evaluations



 
In trial-based economic evaluation, restricting the analysis to the complete cases is inefficient and can result in biased estimates, while imputation methods are often implemented under a missing at random (MAR) assumption. We propose the use of joint longitudinal models to extend standard approaches by taking into account the longitudinal structure to improve the estimation of the targeted quantities under MAR. With Rachael Hunter and Alexina Mason and Gianluca Baio  
missingHE



 
missingHE is an R package aimed at providing tools to handle missing outcome data under a full Bayesian framework in economic evaluations. The package relies on the package R2jags to implement Bayesian models via JAGS and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Different types of missing data models are implemented in the package, including selection models, pattern mixture models and hurdle models  
Bayesian Hierarchical Models for the Prediction of Volleyball Results



 
We extend and adapt the modelling framework typically used for the analysis of football data for the analysis and prediction of volleyball results in regular seasons. Three different sub-models (points scored, number of sets, winner) which are jointly modelled using a flexible Bayesian parametric approach, which allows to fully propagate the uncertainty for each unobserved quantity and to assess the predictive performance of the model.  
Bayesian Methods for Health Technology Assessment



 
The primary role of economic evaluation for health technology assessment (HTA) is not the estimation of the quantities of interest but to aid decision making. Thus, standard frequentist analyses, who rely on power calculations and p-values, are not well-suited for addressing these HTA requirements. Rather, HTA should embrace a decision-theoretic paradigm to inform two decisions With Andrea Manca and Gianluca Baio
Missingness Methods in trial-based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis



 
The purpose of this review is to critically appraise the current literature in within-trial CEAs with respect to the quality of the information reported and the methods used to deal with missingness for both effectiveness and costs. The review complements previous work, covering 2003-2009 (88 articles) with a new systematic review, covering 2009-2015 (81 articles) and focuses on two perspectives With Alexina Mason and Gianluca Baio    
Nonignorable Missingness Models in Health Technology Assessment



 
Using a recent randomised trial as our motivating example, we present a Bayesian parametric model for conducting inference on a bivariate health economic longitudinal response. We specify our model to account for the different types of complexities affecting the data while accommodating a sensitivity analysis to explore the impact of alternative missingness assumptions on the inferences and on the decision-making process for health technology assessment With Michael Daniels and Gianluca Baio      
Bayesian Modelling for Health Economic Evaluations



 
Our proposed modelling framework allows jointly tackling of the different complexities that affect the data in a relatively easy way by means of its modular structure and flexible choice for the distributions of the QALYs and cost variables. We specifically focus on appropriately modelling spikes at the boundary and missingness, as they have substantial implications in terms of cost-effectiveness results. With Alexina Mason and Gianluca Baio      
Linear mixed models to handle missing at random data in trial based economic evaluations



 
Linear mixed effects models (LMMs) offer a simple alternative to handle missing data under Missing At Random (MAR) without requiring imputations, and have not been very well explored in the CEA context. In this manuscript, we aim to familiarize readers with LMMs and demonstrate their implementation in trial-based cost-effectiveness analysis. With Catrin Plumpton and Sube Banerjee and Baptiste Leurent  
Joint Longitudinal Models for Dealing With Missing at Random Data in Trial-Based Economic Evaluations



 
In trial-based economic evaluation, restricting the analysis to the complete cases is inefficient and can result in biased estimates, while imputation methods are often implemented under a missing at random (MAR) assumption. We propose the use of joint longitudinal models to extend standard approaches by taking into account the longitudinal structure to improve the estimation of the targeted quantities under MAR. With Rachael Hunter and Alexina Mason and Gianluca Baio  
missingHE



 
missingHE is an R package aimed at providing tools to handle missing outcome data under a full Bayesian framework in economic evaluations. The package relies on the package R2jags to implement Bayesian models via JAGS and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Different types of missing data models are implemented in the package, including selection models, pattern mixture models and hurdle models  
Missingness Methods in trial-based Cost-Effectiveness Analysis



 
The purpose of this review is to critically appraise the current literature in within-trial CEAs with respect to the quality of the information reported and the methods used to deal with missingness for both effectiveness and costs. The review complements previous work, covering 2003-2009 (88 articles) with a new systematic review, covering 2009-2015 (81 articles) and focuses on two perspectives With Alexina Mason and Gianluca Baio    
Nonignorable Missingness Models in Health Technology Assessment



 
Using a recent randomised trial as our motivating example, we present a Bayesian parametric model for conducting inference on a bivariate health economic longitudinal response. We specify our model to account for the different types of complexities affecting the data while accommodating a sensitivity analysis to explore the impact of alternative missingness assumptions on the inferences and on the decision-making process for health technology assessment With Michael Daniels and Gianluca Baio      
A review of heath economic evaluation practice in the Netherlands: are we moving forward?

 
We review the evolution of health economic evaluation practice in the Netherlands before and after the introduction of the ZIN’s 2016 guidelines. Based on some key components within the health economics framework addressed by the new guidelines, we specifically focus on reviewing the statistical methods, missing data methods and software implemented by health economists.
Bayesian Modelling for Partitioned Survival Cost-Utility Analysis



 
We extend the current methods for modelling trial-based partitioned survival cost-utility data, taking advantage of the flexibility of the Bayesian approach, and specify a joint probabilistic model for the health economic outcomes. This allows to account for multiple types of data complexities and the dependence relationships between different types of quality of life and cost components.  
Bayesian Hierarchical Models for the Prediction of Volleyball Results



 
We extend and adapt the modelling framework typically used for the analysis of football data for the analysis and prediction of volleyball results in regular seasons. Three different sub-models (points scored, number of sets, winner) which are jointly modelled using a flexible Bayesian parametric approach, which allows to fully propagate the uncertainty for each unobserved quantity and to assess the predictive performance of the model.  
Bayesian Methods for Health Technology Assessment



 
The primary role of economic evaluation for health technology assessment (HTA) is not the estimation of the quantities of interest but to aid decision making. Thus, standard frequentist analyses, who rely on power calculations and p-values, are not well-suited for addressing these HTA requirements. Rather, HTA should embrace a decision-theoretic paradigm to inform two decisions With Andrea Manca and Gianluca Baio
Bayesian Modelling for Health Economic Evaluations



 
Our proposed modelling framework allows jointly tackling of the different complexities that affect the data in a relatively easy way by means of its modular structure and flexible choice for the distributions of the QALYs and cost variables. We specifically focus on appropriately modelling spikes at the boundary and missingness, as they have substantial implications in terms of cost-effectiveness results. With Alexina Mason and Gianluca Baio      
My Research

I am a member of the research groups Statistics for Health Economics at UCL, working on both methodological and applied projects. My main areas of interests are statistical modelling for missing data, statistical methods applied to health economic evaluations, and Bayesian modelling in general.

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